【活動預(yù)告】人大國發(fā)院“理論與政策”研討會(第36期)
發(fā)布時(shí)間:2019-04-24
Building State Capacity: A Quantification of Pre-Qin China
主 講:董保民(河南大學(xué)經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)院)
主 持:劉瑞明(中國人民大學(xué)國家發(fā)展與戰(zhàn)略研究院)
時(shí) 間:2019年5月8日(周三)14:00-15:30
地 點(diǎn):中國人民大學(xué)崇德西樓(原科研樓A座)815會議室
摘要: The pre-Qin period, particularly the Spring and Autumn period (770BC-481BC) and the Warring States period (480BC-221BC) witnessed the great transformation of the Chinese society from a classical feudal system to a two millennium long centralized empire. The scale and ferocity of the war increased tremendously from Spring and Autumn to Warring States time. Aggression wars are used as a proxy for state capacity since the fiscal capacity, the governance capacity, and public goods provision capacity as three main dimensions of state capacity, are all incorporated in the capacity to wage wars. Using panel data on Great Wall construction in related states; time spans that one or more prime ministers were installed; counties established chronically by the states; natural disasters; disaster or famine relief; flights of high rank nobility or officials; time and nature of the “self-strengthening reform”; etc., we regress the offensive wars against institutional and control variables. Our panel limited dependent variable models indicate that institutional factors such as county establishment, installment of prime ministers, and self-strengthening reforms, had substantial effect on a state’s capacity to wage offensive wars, and the statistical significance of the coefficient is surprisingly high. Furthermore, a pro-Legalist reform outperformed the pro-Confucian reforms in cultivating state capacity.
主講人簡介:董保民,男,現(xiàn)任河南大學(xué)經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)院教授、博士生導(dǎo)師,2015年起被聘為河南省特聘教授。同時(shí)擔(dān)任亞洲開發(fā)銀行經(jīng)濟(jì)咨詢專家、全國博弈論專業(yè)學(xué)會理事。2004年獲加拿大康科迪亞大學(xué)經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)博士。先后在美國加州大學(xué)圣芭芭拉分校,美國斯坦福大學(xué)經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)系進(jìn)行研究。近年來先后在World Economy, Review of International Economics, Journal of Institutional and Theoretical Economics, Review of Development Economics, Economic Modelling, Economic Record, China Economic Review, Journal of Regulatory Economics 以及《經(jīng)濟(jì)研究》,《經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)(季刊)》等國內(nèi)外一流經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)期刊發(fā)表相關(guān)學(xué)術(shù)論文三十多篇。出版了《信息經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)講義》和《合作博弈論》兩本學(xué)術(shù)著作。多次主辦、協(xié)辦相關(guān)國際會議,并曾被邀請組織計(jì)量經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)會亞洲會議分會以及SAET學(xué)會年會的分會。在國際博弈論大會、世界經(jīng)濟(jì)史大會等國際會議上多次宣講論文。目前研究領(lǐng)域主要是國際經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)、經(jīng)濟(jì)史、產(chǎn)業(yè)組織理論、博弈論等。
中國人民大學(xué)國家發(fā)展與戰(zhàn)略研究院
教師與博士后事務(wù)部